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GSMA projects physical SIM cards decline by 2030 as eSIM momentum grows

The adoption of eSIM technology is accelerating globally, with the GSMA projecting that eSIM-enabled smartphone connections will reach 2.5 billion by 2028.

In its 2026 Mobile Economy Report, the GSMA said eSIMs are expected to account for 42% of all SIM technologies by 2030, reflecting a shift away from physical SIM cards. Once limited to premium devices, eSIM is now standard in mid-range smartphones, wearables, and connected products.

In Kenya, operators including Airtel and Safaricom already offer eSIM services. The technology has particularly benefited frequent travellers by eliminating the need to swap physical SIM cards.

After previously citing slow uptake due to limited compatible devices and low promotion by operators, the GSMA noted growing momentum as manufacturers such as Apple and Google introduce eSIM-only devices, removing physical SIM trays to advance fully digital connectivity.

The industry outlook was highlighted at the opening of the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona, where GSMA Director General Vivek Badrinath called for stronger collaboration to secure networks and close digital gaps. The GSMA reported that mobile contributed $7.6 trillion to the global economy in 2025 but warned that cybercrime could cost $15.63 trillion globally by 2029.

Source: www.techafricanews.com